In 2012, it is widely believed that Mitt Romney will win Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and New Hampshire, all of which voted for Obama in 2008.
New polls have even suggested that Romney could take Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
All polling speculation aside, if Obama wins a second term, he will be the first incumbent to do so with less electoral votes at the time of his re-election in over 30 years. See below.
Reagan won in 1980 with 489 electoral college votes.
Reagan won re-election in 1984 with 525 electoral college votes.
Clinton won in 1992 with 370 electoral college votes.
Clinton won re-election in 1996 with 379 electoral college votes.
Bush won in 2000 with 271 electoral college votes.
Bush won re-election in 2004 with 286 electoral college votes.
According to current polling data, Obama will not gain any states in 2012 but he will lose some.
If history is any guide, Mitt Romney will be the next President of the United States.
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