}
The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left. -- Ecclesiastes 10:2 (NIV)

When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty. Thomas Jefferson

Liberalism: Ideas so good, you have to be forced to accept them.

''ARE YOU AN AMERICAN --or a LIBERAL.''


Friday, October 5, 2012

Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News

...for those who believe Ohio will be as Democrat-heavy or more so than 2008.
A short sample of the shift, with link to the data at the end:
Champaign County: Was +3% GOP, now +23% GOP – 20 point shift.
Columbiana County: Was +9% DEM, now +9% GOP – 18 point shift.
Crawford County: Was +3% DEM, now +12% GOP – 15 point shift.
Cuyahoga County: Was +36% DEM, now +30% DEM (GOP already has 6,000 more requests than in 2008) – 6 point shift.
Erie County: Was +24% DEM, now +7% DEM -17 point shift.
Franklin County: Was +5% DEM, now +5% GOP – 10 point shift.
Greene County: Was +4% DEM, now +19% GOP – 23 point shift.
Harrison County: Was +22% DEM, now +5% DEM – 17 point shift.
Hamilton County: Was +7% GOP, now +13% GOP – 6 point shift.
Licking County: Was TIED, now +16% GOP – 16 point shift.
Montgomery County: Was +29% DEM, now +5% DEM – 24 point shift.
Muskingum County: Was +1% DEM, now +16% GOP – 17 point shift.
Pickaway County: Was +12% DEM, now +15% GOP – 27 point shift.
Seneca County: Was +1% DEM, now +13% GOP – 14 point shift.
Summit County: Was +33% DEM, now +6 DEM – 27 point shift.
Wood County: Was +10% DEM, now +1% GOP – 11 point shift.
Link to ningrim's thankless task here.
The statewide reported gap is D+5.51%, nearly a third of what the Democrats had enjoyed in 2008. Same-day voting in Ohio leaned more in McCain's favor four years ago, but the early vote crushed him. I suspect after last night's debate a considerable number of Republicans are itching to get their ballots back.

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