Barry Levinson over at US News and World Report looks at what
Abbott and Costello might do today with the shenanigans being played as to the
current unemployment rate
Unemployment as reported is
at 8.3 percent. But it's actually over 16 percent. Some smart statistician came
up with a distinction, a slight of hand to make the
unemployment number tolerable rather than frightening.
The concept was simple: 8.3 percent are unemployed and are actively looking for work. The 16 percent
includes those who gave up and are no longer actively looking for work. So those
casualties are no longer counted. They cease to exist. The 8.3 percent is a
fake, a sham, and worthy of an Abbott and Costello routine. If that great comedy
team were still alive, the routine on our unemployment
woes might go something like this:
COSTELLO: I want to talk about the unemployment
rate in America.
ABBOTT: Good Subject. Terrible Times. It's about 8
percent.
COSTELLO: That many people are out of
work?
ABBOTT: No, that's 16 percent.
COSTELLO: You just
said 8 percent.
ABBOTT: 8 percent
unemployed.
COSTELLO: Right 8 percent out
of work.
ABBOTT: No, that's 16 percent.
COSTELLO: Okay,
so it's 16 percent unemployed.
ABBOTT: No,
that's around 8 percent...
COSTELLO:
Waits a minute. Is it 8 percent or
16 percent?
ABBOTT: 8 percent are
unemployed. 16 percent are out of
work.
COSTELLO: If you are out of work aren't you
unemployed?
ABBOTT: No, you can't count
the "Out of Work" as unemployed. You have to look for
work to be unemployed.
COSTELLO: But they
are out of work!!!
ABBOTT: No, you miss my
point.
COSTELLO: What point?
ABBOTT: Someone who doesn't
look for work, can't be counted with those who look for work. It wouldn't be
fair.
COSTELLO: To who?
ABBOTT: The
unemployed.
COSTELLO: But they are all out
of work.
ABBOTT:No, the unemployed are
actively looking for work ... Those who are out of work stopped looking. They
gave up. And, if you give up, you are no longer in the ranks of the
unemployed.
COSTELLO: So if you're off the
unemployment roles, that would count as less
unemployment?
ABBOTT:
Unemployment would go down.
Absolutely!
COSTELLO: The unemployment
just goes down because you don't look for
work?
ABBOTT: Absolutely it goes down. That's how you
get to 8 percent. Otherwise it would be 16 percent. You don't want to read about
16 percent unemployment do ya?
COSTELLO:
That would be frightening.
ABBOTT: Absolutely.
COSTELLO:
Wait, I got a question for you. That means they're two ways to bring down the
unemployment number?
ABBOTT: Two ways is
correct.
COSTELLO: Unemployment can go down if someone gets a
job?
ABBOTT: Correct.
COSTELLO: And unemployment can also
go down if you stop looking for a job?
ABBOTT:
Bingo.
COSTELLO: So there are two ways to bring unemployment down,
and the easier of the two is to just stop looking for work.
ABBOTT:
Now you're thinking like an economist.
COSTELLO: I don't even know
what the hell I just said!
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